Byers, TX Special Weather Statement

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

Issued:

1147 AM CDT SAT SEP 6 2008

Expires:

700 AM CDT SUN SEP 07 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. DISCUSSION... A FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AT MID-DAY WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN COOLED AIR OVER PARTS OF THE AREA... A BOUNDARY DUE TO THE DIFFERENCE IN HEATING MAY ALSO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. THESE BOUNDARIES MAY BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING... WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. IF STORMS DO DEVELOP... INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR COULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS A LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT WILL BE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG... WITH SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY SEP 7. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...50 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...30 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A FEW ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM SUNDAY.