Antelope, TX Special Weather Statement

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

Issued:

1155 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008

Expires:

700 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. DISCUSSION... MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS DURING THE PERIOD AS WINDS AT MID LEVELS BRING THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NORBERT NORTHEASTWARD. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ARRIVING NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF OKLAHOMA BY SUNRISE MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THROUGH TONIGHT...AND MAY ALSO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT. WITH MARGINAL LEVELS OF INSTABILITY PRESENT...THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY OCT 13. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...60 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...10 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... SOUTH WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO AFFECT MOTORCYCLES AND HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES... ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST ORIENTED ROADWAYS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE A STABLE AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE...AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EXIT THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY. BEYOND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD AT MID LEVELS...AN AXIS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS AREAS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. RAINFALL TOTALS OF OVER FIVE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FAR NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CHANGES IN THE PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT COULD MOVE THIS AXIS OF RAINFALL A LITTLE TO THE NORTHWEST OR SOUTHEAST. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM MONDAY.